Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001010 0.001154 0.001299 0.001457 0.001623 0.001791 0.001975
2025-06-15 0.000837 0.001047 0.001267 0.001512 0.001776 0.002050 0.002354
2025-06-22 0.000644 0.000895 0.001168 0.001481 0.001827 0.002192 0.002604
2025-06-29 0.000514 0.000796 0.001115 0.001492 0.001915 0.002370 0.002889
2025-07-06 0.000459 0.000777 0.001147 0.001592 0.002100 0.002650 0.003284
2025-07-13 0.000348 0.000675 0.001074 0.001567 0.002139 0.002767 0.003496
2025-07-20 0.000241 0.000565 0.000980 0.001509 0.002135 0.002831 0.003647
2025-07-27 0.000194 0.000527 0.000972 0.001549 0.002241 0.003016 0.003930
2025-08-03 0.000136 0.000462 0.000923 0.001536 0.002281 0.003124 0.004125
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000366 0.000823 0.001454 0.002236 0.003132 0.004203
2025-08-17 0.000034 0.000305 0.000766 0.001421 0.002246 0.003199 0.004348
2025-08-24 0.000006 0.000232 0.000680 0.001346 0.002200 0.003199 0.004412
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000176 0.000627 0.001327 0.002245 0.003330 0.004657
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000154 0.000625 0.001380 0.002380 0.003572 0.005034
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000105 0.000567 0.001350 0.002412 0.003690 0.005270
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000077 0.000538 0.001360 0.002493 0.003868 0.005575
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000075 0.000568 0.001457 0.002686 0.004180 0.006039
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000520 0.001433 0.002720 0.004300 0.006275
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000017 0.000455 0.001377 0.002710 0.004363 0.006443
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000010 0.000450 0.001416 0.002824 0.004577 0.006789
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000002 0.000416 0.001403 0.002867 0.004704 0.007030
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000347 0.001324 0.002817 0.004713 0.007129
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001293 0.002830 0.004797 0.007317